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INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Match ·

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.79 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile58%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur16%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile58% selection probability
Projected score2–1CF Os BelenensesCaldas SC
Expected goals2.79Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
58% / 25% / 16%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Caldas SC win (16.1%)Double chance1X83.9%1.19
Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%Goals 2.5Plus de53%1.89
Oui 46% · Non 54%Les deux équipes marquentNon54%1.85
2.79 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CF Os Belenenses win58%1.721.5757.7%+0.3 pp
Nul25%4.003.5025.9%-0.9 pp
Caldas SC win16%6.255.5016.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CF Os Belenenses2.04

Domicile share of expected goals 73.1%

Total expected goals2.79Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 53% · Moins de 47%

Caldas SC0.75

Extérieur share of expected goals 26.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 46% · Non 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

CF Os Belenenses

1.60pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Caldas SC

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Gagné probability excluding draw
16%
8
Points from supplied form
5
2.04
Expected goals
0.75
CF Os BelenensesCaldas SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CF Os Belenenses signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Caldas SC signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

CF Os Belenenses vs Caldas SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CF Os Belenenses victoire 58%,Nul 25%,Caldas SC victoire 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.79 · Plus de 2.5 53% · Current selection Plus de