Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
35% / 30% / 35%SpielergebnisHeimsieg35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Doppelte Chance1270.2%1.42
Über 25% · Unter 75%Goals 2.5Unter75%1.33
Ja 33% · Nein 67%Beide Teams treffenNein67%1.49
1.72 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1——
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin13.4%Largest probability gapSporting Covilha winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting Covilha win35%2.862.4536%-1.0 pp
Unentschieden30%3.333.0029.4%+0.6 pp
UD Santarem win35%2.862.5534.6%+0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Heim share of expected goals 43.6%
Total expected goals1.72Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Über 25% · Unter 75%
Auswärts share of expected goals 56.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 33% · Nein 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Heim-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchSporting Covilha
DDLWW
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8
SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5
Auswärts-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchUD Santarem
DDLDD
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punkte4
SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
35%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
35%8
Points from supplied form
40.75
Expected goals
0.97Sporting CovilhaUD Santarem
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Sporting Covilha vs UD Santarem FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sporting Covilha Gewinn 35%，Unentschieden 30%，UD Santarem Gewinn 35%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.72 · Über 2.5 25% · Current selection Unter。