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INT Portugal - 3. Liga · Spiel ·

CD Mafra vs GD Vitoria de Sernache

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.31 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg52%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg22%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 52% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg52% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD MafraGD Vitoria de Sernache
Expected goals2.31Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter59% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
52% / 26% / 22%SpielergebnisHeimsieg52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GD Vitoria de Sernache win (21.6%)Doppelte Chance1X78.4%1.28
Über 41% · Unter 59%Goals 2.5Unter59%1.69
Ja 45% · Nein 55%Beide Teams treffenNein55%1.82
2.31 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Mafra win52%1.921.6753.7%
Unentschieden26%3.853.5025.6%
GD Vitoria de Sernache win22%4.554.3320.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Mafra1.42

Heim share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.31Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 41% · Unter 59%

GD Vitoria de Sernache0.89

Auswärts share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nein 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

CD Mafra

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

GD Vitoria de Sernache

0.00pts / match
Gespielt0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punkte0

SignalNein recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.42
Expected goals
0.89
CD MafraGD Vitoria de Sernache
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Mafra signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GD Vitoria de Sernache signalNein recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

CD Mafra vs GD Vitoria de Sernache FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Mafra Gewinn 52%,Unentschieden 26%,GD Vitoria de Sernache Gewinn 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.31 · Über 2.5 41% · Current selection Unter