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INT Πορτογαλία - Λίγκα 3 · Αγώνας ·

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια vs UD Σανταρεμ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.72 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου35%
Ισοπαλία30%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου35%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Σπόρτινγκ ΚοβίλιαUD Σανταρεμ
Expected goals1.72Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω75% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
35% / 30% / 35%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1270.2%1.42
Άνω 25% · Κάτω 75%Goals 2.5Κάτω75%1.33
Ναι 33% · Όχι 67%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι67%1.49
1.72 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.2 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin13.4%Largest probability gapΣπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια win35%2.862.4536%-1.0 pp
Ισοπαλία30%3.333.0029.4%+0.6 pp
UD Σανταρεμ win35%2.862.5534.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια0.75

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 43.6%

Total expected goals1.72Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 25% · Κάτω 75%

UD Σανταρεμ0.97

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 56.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 33% · Όχι 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

UD Σανταρεμ

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Πόντοι4

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
35%
8
Points from supplied form
4
0.75
Expected goals
0.97
Σπόρτινγκ ΚοβίλιαUD Σανταρεμ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Σανταρεμ signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια vs UD Σανταρεμ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια νίκη 35%,Ισοπαλία 30%,UD Σανταρεμ νίκη 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.72 · Άνω 2.5 25% · Current selection Κάτω