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INT Πορτογαλία - Λίγκα 3 · Αγώνας ·

AD Μάρκο 09 vs Πάκος Φερέιρα

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου40%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου31%
Baseline forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου40% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD Μάρκο 09Πάκος Φερέιρα
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω60% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
40% / 28% / 31%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1271.7%1.39
Άνω 40% · Κάτω 60%Goals 2.5Κάτω60%1.67
Ναι 46% · Όχι 54%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι54%1.85
2.28 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
AD Μάρκο 09 win40%2.50
Ισοπαλία28%3.57
Πάκος Φερέιρα win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Μάρκο 091.23

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 40% · Κάτω 60%

Πάκος Φερέιρα1.05

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 46% · Όχι 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

AD Μάρκο 09

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Πάκος Φερέιρα

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
1.05
AD Μάρκο 09Πάκος Φερέιρα
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Μάρκο 09 signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Πάκος Φερέιρα signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AD Μάρκο 09 vs Πάκος Φερέιρα FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Μάρκο 09 νίκη 40%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Πάκος Φερέιρα νίκη 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Άνω 2.5 40% · Current selection Κάτω