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INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Partido ·

AD Marco 09 vs Paços de Ferreira

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local40%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante31%
Baseline forecastVictoria localTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local40% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD Marco 09Paços de Ferreira
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de60% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
40% / 28% / 31%Resultado del partidoVictoria local40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Doble Oportunidad1271.7%1.39
Más de 40% · Menos de 60%Goals 2.5Menos de60%1.67
Sí 46% · No 54%Ambos equipos marcanNo54%1.85
2.28 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
AD Marco 09 win40%2.50
Empate28%3.57
Paços de Ferreira win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Marco 091.23

Local share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 40% · Menos de 60%

Paços de Ferreira1.05

Visitante share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

AD Marco 09

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puntos9

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Paços de Ferreira

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganado probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
1.05
AD Marco 09Paços de Ferreira
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Marco 09 signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paços de Ferreira signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AD Marco 09 vs Paços de Ferreira FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Marco 09 ganada 40%,Empate 28%,Paços de Ferreira ganada 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Más de 2.5 40% · Current selection Menos de