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INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Partido ·

USC Paredes vs Vitória de Guimarães - B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local50%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante22%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local50% selection probability
Projected score1–1USC ParedesVitória de Guimarães - B
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de70% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
50% / 28% / 22%Resultado del partidoVictoria local50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Vitória de Guimarães - B win (22%)Doble Oportunidad1X78%1.28
Más de 30% · Menos de 70%Goals 2.5Menos de70%1.43
Sí 38% · No 62%Ambos equipos marcanNo62%1.61
1.92 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapUSC Paredes winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
USC Paredes win50%2.001.7551.4%-1.4 pp
Empate28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp
Vitória de Guimarães - B win22%4.554.2021.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

USC Paredes1.05

Local share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 30% · Menos de 70%

Vitória de Guimarães - B0.87

Visitante share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 38% · No 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

USC Paredes

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Vitória de Guimarães - B

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puntos3

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Ganado probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
3
1.05
Expected goals
0.87
USC ParedesVitória de Guimarães - B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01USC Paredes signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vitória de Guimarães - B signalLocal matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

USC Paredes vs Vitória de Guimarães - B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

USC Paredes ganada 50%,Empate 28%,Vitória de Guimarães - B ganada 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · Más de 2.5 30% · Current selection Menos de