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INT Portugalia - Liga 3 · Meci ·

USC Paredes vs Guimaraes B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde50%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți22%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde50% selection probability
Projected score1–1USC ParedesGuimaraes B
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub70% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
50% / 28% / 22%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guimaraes B win (22%)Șansă dublă1X78%1.28
Peste 30% · Sub 70%Goals 2.5Sub70%1.43
Da 38% · Nu 62%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62%1.61
1.92 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapUSC Paredes winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
USC Paredes win50%2.001.7551.4%-1.4 pp
Egal28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp
Guimaraes B win22%4.554.2021.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

USC Paredes1.05

Gazde share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 30% · Sub 70%

Guimaraes B0.87

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 38% · Nu 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

USC Paredes

1.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Guimaraes B

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Câștig probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
3
1.05
Expected goals
0.87
USC ParedesGuimaraes B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01USC Paredes signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guimaraes B signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

USC Paredes vs Guimaraes B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

USC Paredes câștig 50%,Egal 28%,Guimaraes B câștig 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · Peste 2.5 30% · Current selection Sub