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INT Portugalia - Liga 3 · Mecz ·

USC Paredes vs Guimaraes B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy50%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości22%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy50% selection probability
Projected score1–1USC ParedesGuimaraes B
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej70% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie62% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
50% / 28% / 22%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Guimaraes B win (22%)Podwójna szansa1X78%1.28
Powyżej 30% · Poniżej 70%Goals 2.5Poniżej70%1.43
Tak 38% · Nie 62%Obie drużyny strzeląNie62%1.61
1.92 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapUSC Paredes winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
USC Paredes win50%2.001.7551.4%-1.4 pp
Remis28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp
Guimaraes B win22%4.554.2021.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

USC Paredes1.05

Gospodarze share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 30% · Poniżej 70%

Guimaraes B0.87

Goście share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 38% · Nie 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

USC Paredes

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Guimaraes B

0.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkty3

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
22%
8
Points from supplied form
3
1.05
Expected goals
0.87
USC ParedesGuimaraes B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01USC Paredes signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Guimaraes B signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

USC Paredes vs Guimaraes B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

USC Paredes wygrana 50%,Remis 28%,Guimaraes B wygrana 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · Powyżej 2.5 30% · Current selection Poniżej