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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Wedstrijd ·

AD Marco 09 vs Pacos Ferreira

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst40%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst31%
Baseline forecastThuiswinstTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst40% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD Marco 09Pacos Ferreira
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder60% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
40% / 28% / 31%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Dubbele Kans1271.7%1.39
Boven 40% · Onder 60%Goals 2.5Onder60%1.67
Ja 46% · Nee 54%Beide teams scorenNee54%1.85
2.28 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
AD Marco 09 win40%2.50
Gelijkspel28%3.57
Pacos Ferreira win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Marco 091.23

Thuis share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 40% · Onder 60%

Pacos Ferreira1.05

Uit share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nee 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

AD Marco 09

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Pacos Ferreira

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
1.05
AD Marco 09Pacos Ferreira
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Marco 09 signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pacos Ferreira signalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AD Marco 09 vs Pacos Ferreira FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Marco 09 gewonnen 40%,Gelijkspel 28%,Pacos Ferreira gewonnen 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Boven 2.5 40% · Current selection Onder