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INT Португалия - Лига 3 · Матч ·

АД Марко 09 vs Пасуш де Феррейра

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев40%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей31%
Baseline forecastПобеда хозяевTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев40% selection probability
Projected score1–1АД Марко 09Пасуш де Феррейра
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше60% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
40% / 28% / 31%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Двойной шанс1271.7%1.39
Больше 40% · Меньше 60%Goals 2.5Меньше60%1.67
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.28 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
АД Марко 09 win40%2.50
Ничья28%3.57
Пасуш де Феррейра win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

АД Марко 091.23

Хозяева share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 40% · Меньше 60%

Пасуш де Феррейра1.05

Гости share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

АД Марко 09

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Пасуш де Феррейра

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
1.05
АД Марко 09Пасуш де Феррейра
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01АД Марко 09 signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Пасуш де Феррейра signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

АД Марко 09 vs Пасуш де Феррейра FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

АД Марко 09 выигрыш 40%,Ничья 28%,Пасуш де Феррейра выигрыш 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · ТБ 2.5 40% · Current selection Меньше