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INT Portugal - 3.ª Liga · Partida ·

AD Marco 09 vs Paços de Ferreira

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa40%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante31%
Baseline forecastVitória da casaTier C · 40% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa40% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD Marco 09Paços de Ferreira
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo60% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
40% / 28% / 31%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Dupla Chance1271.7%1.39
Acima 40% · Abaixo 60%Goals 2.5Abaixo60%1.67
Sim 46% · Não 54%Ambas as equipes marcamNão54%1.85
2.28 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
AD Marco 09 win40%2.50
Empate28%3.57
Paços de Ferreira win31%3.23

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Marco 091.23

Mandante share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 40% · Abaixo 60%

Paços de Ferreira1.05

Visitante share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 46% · Não 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

AD Marco 09

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontos9

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Paços de Ferreira

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
31%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.23
Expected goals
1.05
AD Marco 09Paços de Ferreira
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Marco 09 signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Paços de Ferreira signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AD Marco 09 vs Paços de Ferreira FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Marco 09 ganhou 40%,Empate 28%,Paços de Ferreira ganhou 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Acima 2.5 40% · Current selection Abaixo