Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
35% / 30% / 35%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Șansă dublă1270.2%1.42
Peste 25% · Sub 75%Goals 2.5Sub75%1.33
Da 33% · Nu 67%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu67%1.49
1.72 total expected goalsScor corect1–1——
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin13.4%Largest probability gapSporting Covilha winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting Covilha win35%2.862.4536%-1.0 pp
Egal30%3.333.0029.4%+0.6 pp
UD Santarem win35%2.862.5534.6%+0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Gazde share of expected goals 43.6%
Total expected goals1.72Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Peste 25% · Sub 75%
Oaspeți share of expected goals 56.4%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 33% · Nu 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Gazde-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchSporting Covilha
DDLWW
Jucate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puncte8
SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5
Oaspeți-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchUD Santarem
DDLDD
Jucate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Puncte4
SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
35%
Câștig probability excluding draw
35%8
Points from supplied form
40.75
Expected goals
0.97Sporting CovilhaUD Santarem
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.
Match questions
Sporting Covilha vs UD Santarem FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sporting Covilha câștig 35%，Egal 30%，UD Santarem câștig 35%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.72 · Peste 2.5 25% · Current selection Sub。