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INT Portugalsko - Liga 3 · Final ·

Sporting Covilha vs UD Santarem

Prediction review

Domácí form
Final score2–0Předpověď 1–1
Hosté form
Výhra domácích35%
Remíza30%
Výhra hostů35%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 35% selection probability
Prediction Úspěšná
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sporting CovilhaUD Santarem
Expected goals1.72Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Méně75% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
35% / 30% / 35%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Dvojitá šance1270.2%1.42
Více 25% · Méně 75%Goals 2.5Méně75%1.33
Ano 33% · Ne 67%Oba týmy skórujíNe67%1.49
1.72 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
10.2 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin13.4%Largest probability gapSporting Covilha winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sporting Covilha win35%2.862.4536%-1.0 pp
Remíza30%3.333.0029.4%+0.6 pp
UD Santarem win35%2.862.5534.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting Covilha0.75

Domácí share of expected goals 43.6%

Total expected goals1.72Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Více 25% · Méně 75%

UD Santarem0.97

Hosté share of expected goals 56.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 33% · Ne 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Sporting Covilha

1.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

UD Santarem

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Body4

SignalHosté unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Výhra probability excluding draw
35%
8
Points from supplied form
4
0.75
Expected goals
0.97
Sporting CovilhaUD Santarem
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting Covilha signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD Santarem signalHosté unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sporting Covilha vs UD Santarem FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting Covilha výhra 35%,Remíza 30%,UD Santarem výhra 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.72 · Více 2.5 25% · Current selection Méně