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INT Португалия - Лига 3 · Final ·

Спортинг Ковиля vs ЮД Сантарем

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score2–0Прогноза 1–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина35%
Равен30%
Победа за госта35%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 35% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Спортинг КовиляЮД Сантарем
Expected goals1.72Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под75% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
35% / 30% / 35%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.8%)Двоен шанс1270.2%1.42
Над 25% · Под 75%Goals 2.5Под75%1.33
Да 33% · Не 67%И двата отбора да отбележатНе67%1.49
1.72 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.2 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin13.4%Largest probability gapСпортинг Ковиля winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Спортинг Ковиля win35%2.862.4536%-1.0 pp
Равен30%3.333.0029.4%+0.6 pp
ЮД Сантарем win35%2.862.5534.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Спортинг Ковиля0.75

Домакин share of expected goals 43.6%

Total expected goals1.72Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 25% · Под 75%

ЮД Сантарем0.97

Гост share of expected goals 56.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 33% · Не 67%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Спортинг Ковиля

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ЮД Сантарем

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Точки4

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
35%
8
Points from supplied form
4
0.75
Expected goals
0.97
Спортинг КовиляЮД Сантарем
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Спортинг Ковиля signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ЮД Сантарем signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Спортинг Ковиля vs ЮД Сантарем FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Спортинг Ковиля печеливш 35%,Равен 30%,ЮД Сантарем печеливш 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.72 · Над 2.5 25% · Current selection Под