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POL Polska - 1. Liga · Mecz ·

Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdańsk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.45 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy63%
Remis21%
Wygrana gości16%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia WarszawaLechia Gdańsk
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
63% / 21% / 16%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lechia Gdańsk win (16.3%)Podwójna szansa1X83.7%1.19
Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%Goals 2.5Poniżej56%1.79
Tak 36% · Nie 64%Obie drużyny strzeląNie64%1.56
2.45 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
11.7 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapLechia Gdańsk winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Warszawa win63%1.591.4562.1%+0.9 pp
Remis21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Lechia Gdańsk win16%6.255.2517.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Warszawa1.92

Gospodarze share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%

Lechia Gdańsk0.53

Goście share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 36% · Nie 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Polonia Warszawa

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Lechia Gdańsk

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
16%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.92
Expected goals
0.53
Polonia WarszawaLechia Gdańsk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Warszawa signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lechia Gdańsk signalGoście matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdańsk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Warszawa wygrana 63%,Remis 21%,Lechia Gdańsk wygrana 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Powyżej 2.5 44% · Current selection Poniżej