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POL Польша - Лига I · Матч ·

Полония Варшава vs Лехия Гданьск

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.45 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев63%
Ничья21%
Победа гостей16%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Полония ВаршаваЛехия Гданьск
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
63% / 21% / 16%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Лехия Гданьск win (16.3%)Двойной шанс1X83.7%1.19
Больше 44% · Меньше 56%Goals 2.5Меньше56%1.79
Да 36% · Нет 64%Обе забьютНет64%1.56
2.45 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
11.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapЛехия Гданьск winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Полония Варшава win63%1.591.4562.1%+0.9 pp
Ничья21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Лехия Гданьск win16%6.255.2517.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Полония Варшава1.92

Хозяева share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 44% · Меньше 56%

Лехия Гданьск0.53

Гости share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 36% · Нет 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Полония Варшава

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Лехия Гданьск

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
16%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.92
Expected goals
0.53
Полония ВаршаваЛехия Гданьск
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Полония Варшава signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Лехия Гданьск signalГости matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Полония Варшава vs Лехия Гданьск FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Полония Варшава выигрыш 63%,Ничья 21%,Лехия Гданьск выигрыш 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · ТБ 2.5 44% · Current selection Меньше