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POL Polonia - Liga I · Partita ·

Polonia Varsavia vs Lechia Gdansk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.45 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa63%
Pareggio21%
Vittoria ospite16%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia VarsaviaLechia Gdansk
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto56% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
63% / 21% / 16%Esito partitaVittoria casa63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lechia Gdansk win (16.3%)Doppia Chance1X83.7%1.19
Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%Goals 2.5Sotto56%1.79
Sì 36% · No 64%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo64%1.56
2.45 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
11.7 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapLechia Gdansk winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Varsavia win63%1.591.4562.1%+0.9 pp
Pareggio21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Lechia Gdansk win16%6.255.2517.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Varsavia1.92

Casa share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 44% · Sotto 56%

Lechia Gdansk0.53

Trasferta share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 36% · No 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Polonia Varsavia

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Lechia Gdansk

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vinta probability excluding draw
16%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.92
Expected goals
0.53
Polonia VarsaviaLechia Gdansk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Varsavia signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lechia Gdansk signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Polonia Varsavia vs Lechia Gdansk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Varsavia vinta 63%,Pareggio 21%,Lechia Gdansk vinta 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Sopra 2.5 44% · Current selection Sotto