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POL Polónia - 1.ª Liga · Partida ·

Polónia Varsóvia vs Lechia Gdansk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.45 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa63%
Empate21%
Vitória visitante16%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polónia VarsóviaLechia Gdansk
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo56% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
63% / 21% / 16%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lechia Gdansk win (16.3%)Dupla Chance1X83.7%1.19
Acima 44% · Abaixo 56%Goals 2.5Abaixo56%1.79
Sim 36% · Não 64%Ambas as equipes marcamNão64%1.56
2.45 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
11.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapLechia Gdansk winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polónia Varsóvia win63%1.591.4562.1%+0.9 pp
Empate21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Lechia Gdansk win16%6.255.2517.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polónia Varsóvia1.92

Mandante share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 44% · Abaixo 56%

Lechia Gdansk0.53

Visitante share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 36% · Não 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Polónia Varsóvia

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Lechia Gdansk

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
16%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.92
Expected goals
0.53
Polónia VarsóviaLechia Gdansk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polónia Varsóvia signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lechia Gdansk signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Polónia Varsóvia vs Lechia Gdansk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polónia Varsóvia ganhou 63%,Empate 21%,Lechia Gdansk ganhou 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Acima 2.5 44% · Current selection Abaixo