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POL Полша - Лига 1 · Мач ·

Полония Варшава vs Лехия Гданск

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.45 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина63%
Равен21%
Победа за госта16%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Полония ВаршаваЛехия Гданск
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
63% / 21% / 16%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Лехия Гданск win (16.3%)Двоен шанс1X83.7%1.19
Над 44% · Под 56%Goals 2.5Под56%1.79
Да 36% · Не 64%И двата отбора да отбележатНе64%1.56
2.45 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
11.7 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapЛехия Гданск winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Полония Варшава win63%1.591.4562.1%+0.9 pp
Равен21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Лехия Гданск win16%6.255.2517.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Полония Варшава1.92

Домакин share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 44% · Под 56%

Лехия Гданск0.53

Гост share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 36% · Не 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Полония Варшава

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Лехия Гданск

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
16%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.92
Expected goals
0.53
Полония ВаршаваЛехия Гданск
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Полония Варшава signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Лехия Гданск signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Полония Варшава vs Лехия Гданск FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Полония Варшава печеливш 63%,Равен 21%,Лехия Гданск печеливш 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Над 2.5 44% · Current selection Под