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POL Polsko - I Liga · Zápas ·

Polonia Varšava vs Lechia Gdańsk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.45 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích63%
Remíza21%
Výhra hostů16%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia VaršavaLechia Gdańsk
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně56% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
63% / 21% / 16%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lechia Gdańsk win (16.3%)Dvojitá šance1X83.7%1.19
Více 44% · Méně 56%Goals 2.5Méně56%1.79
Ano 36% · Ne 64%Oba týmy skórujíNe64%1.56
2.45 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
11.7 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapLechia Gdańsk winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Varšava win63%1.591.4562.1%+0.9 pp
Remíza21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Lechia Gdańsk win16%6.255.2517.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Varšava1.92

Domácí share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 44% · Méně 56%

Lechia Gdańsk0.53

Hosté share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 36% · Ne 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Polonia Varšava

2.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Lechia Gdańsk

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalHosté matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Výhra probability excluding draw
16%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.92
Expected goals
0.53
Polonia VaršavaLechia Gdańsk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Varšava signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lechia Gdańsk signalHosté matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Polonia Varšava vs Lechia Gdańsk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Varšava výhra 63%,Remíza 21%,Lechia Gdańsk výhra 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Více 2.5 44% · Current selection Méně