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POL Poland I Liga · Kamp ·

Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.45 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier63%
Uavgjort21%
Borteseier16%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier63% selection probability
Projected score2–1Polonia WarszawaLechia Gdansk
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei64% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
63% / 21% / 16%KampresultatHjemmeseier63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Lechia Gdansk win (16.3%)Dobbel sjanse1X83.7%1.19
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 36% · Nei 64%Begge lag scorerNei64%1.56
2.45 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
11.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapLechia Gdansk winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Polonia Warszawa win63%1.591.4562.1%+0.9 pp
Uavgjort21%4.764.3320.8%+0.2 pp
Lechia Gdansk win16%6.255.2517.1%-1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Warszawa1.92

Hjemme share of expected goals 78.4%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Lechia Gdansk0.53

Borte share of expected goals 21.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nei 64%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Polonia Warszawa

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Lechia Gdansk

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poeng4

SignalBorte matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
16%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.92
Expected goals
0.53
Polonia WarszawaLechia Gdansk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Warszawa signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lechia Gdansk signalBorte matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Polonia Warszawa vs Lechia Gdansk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Warszawa vunnet 63%,Uavgjort 21%,Lechia Gdansk vunnet 16%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under