MatchFormula Najít zápas
Menu
UTC+8
Časové pásmoAsia/Shanghai
Česky
POL Polsko - I Liga · Zápas ·

Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích32%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostů41%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pogon SiedlceStal Mielec
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně54% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno51% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
32% / 27% / 41%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Dvojitá šance1273%1.37
Více 46% · Méně 54%Goals 2.5Méně54%1.85
Ano 51% · Ne 49%Oba týmy skórujíAno51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
11.1 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapPogon Siedlce winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pogon Siedlce win32%3.132.8031.7%+0.3 pp
Remíza27%3.703.3026.9%+0.1 pp
Stal Mielec win41%2.442.1541.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pogon Siedlce1.13

Domácí share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 46% · Méně 54%

Stal Mielec1.39

Hosté share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 51% · Ne 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Pogon Siedlce

1.00pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Body5

SignalHosté unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Stal Mielec

1.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalHosté matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Výhra probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.13
Expected goals
1.39
Pogon SiedlceStal Mielec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pogon Siedlce signalHosté unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stal Mielec signalHosté matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pogon Siedlce výhra 32%,Remíza 27%,Stal Mielec výhra 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Více 2.5 46% · Current selection Méně