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POL Lengyelország - I Liga · Mérkőzés ·

Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem32%
Döntetlen27%
Vendég győzelem41%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pogon SiedlceStal Mielec
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt54% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen51% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
32% / 27% / 41%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Dupla esély1273%1.37
Felett 46% · Alatt 54%Goals 2.5Alatt54%1.85
Igen 51% · Nem 49%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
11.1 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapPogon Siedlce winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pogon Siedlce win32%3.132.8031.7%+0.3 pp
Döntetlen27%3.703.3026.9%+0.1 pp
Stal Mielec win41%2.442.1541.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pogon Siedlce1.13

Hazai share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 46% · Alatt 54%

Stal Mielec1.39

Vendég share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 51% · Nem 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Pogon Siedlce

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalVendég unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Stal Mielec

1.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontok8

SignalVendég matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Nyert probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.13
Expected goals
1.39
Pogon SiedlceStal Mielec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pogon Siedlce signalVendég unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stal Mielec signalVendég matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Pogon Siedlce vs Stal Mielec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pogon Siedlce nyer 32%,Döntetlen 27%,Stal Mielec nyer 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · 2.5 felett 46% · Current selection Alatt