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POL Polska - 1. Liga · Mecz ·

MKP Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy32%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości41%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości41% selection probability
Projected score1–1MKP Pogoń SiedlceStal Mielec
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej54% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak51% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
32% / 27% / 41%Wynik meczuWygrana gości41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Podwójna szansa1273%1.37
Powyżej 46% · Poniżej 54%Goals 2.5Poniżej54%1.85
Tak 51% · Nie 49%Obie drużyny strzeląTak51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
11.1 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapMKP Pogoń Siedlce winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MKP Pogoń Siedlce win32%3.132.8031.7%+0.3 pp
Remis27%3.703.3026.9%+0.1 pp
Stal Mielec win41%2.442.1541.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MKP Pogoń Siedlce1.13

Gospodarze share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 46% · Poniżej 54%

Stal Mielec1.39

Goście share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 51% · Nie 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

MKP Pogoń Siedlce

1.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkty5

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Stal Mielec

1.60pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkty8

SignalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.13
Expected goals
1.39
MKP Pogoń SiedlceStal Mielec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MKP Pogoń Siedlce signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stal Mielec signalGoście matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

MKP Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MKP Pogoń Siedlce wygrana 32%,Remis 27%,Stal Mielec wygrana 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Powyżej 2.5 46% · Current selection Poniżej