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BGR Bułgaria - 1. Liga · Mecz ·

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.24 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy50%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości22%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Slavia SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej61% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
50% / 28% / 22%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Septemvri Sofia win (22.1%)Podwójna szansa1X77.9%1.28
Powyżej 39% · Poniżej 61%Goals 2.5Poniżej61%1.64
Tak 39% · Nie 61%Obie drużyny strzeląNie61%1.64
2.24 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.3 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gapSeptemvri Sofia winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Slavia Sofia win50%2.001.8349.7%+0.3 pp
Remis28%3.573.3027.6%+0.4 pp
Septemvri Sofia win22%4.554.0022.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Slavia Sofia1.56

Gospodarze share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 39% · Poniżej 61%

Septemvri Sofia0.68

Goście share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 39% · Nie 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Slavia Sofia

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Septemvri Sofia

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.56
Expected goals
0.68
Slavia SofiaSeptemvri Sofia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Slavia Sofia signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Septemvri Sofia signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Slavia Sofia wygrana 50%,Remis 28%,Septemvri Sofia wygrana 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Powyżej 2.5 39% · Current selection Poniżej