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BGR 保加利亞甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

索非亞斯拉維亞 vs 塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.24 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝50%
28%
客勝22%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝50% selection probability
Projected score2–1索非亞斯拉維亞塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.561% for the selected side
雙方進球61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
50% / 28% / 22%比賽結果主勝50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 win (22.1%)雙重機會1X77.9%1.28
大 39% · 小 61%Goals 2.561%1.64
是 39% · 否 61%雙方進球61%1.64
2.24 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.3 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.9%Largest probability gap塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 winDifference-0.7 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
索非亞斯拉維亞 win50%2.001.8349.7%+0.3 pp
28%3.573.3027.6%+0.4 pp
塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 win22%4.554.0022.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

索非亞斯拉維亞1.56

主隊 share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 39% · 61%

塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞0.68

客隊 share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 39% · 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

索非亞斯拉維亞

1.20pts / match
5Wins1Drawn3Losses1積分6

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
贏 probability excluding draw
22%
6
Points from supplied form
6
1.56
Expected goals
0.68
索非亞斯拉維亞塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01索非亞斯拉維亞 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

索非亞斯拉維亞 vs 塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

索非亞斯拉維亞 50%, 28%,塞普泰姆夫里索菲亞 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · 大2.5 39% · Current selection