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POL Polónia - 1.ª Liga · Partida ·

Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa32%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante41%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pogoń SiedlceStal Mielec
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo54% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim51% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
32% / 27% / 41%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Dupla Chance1273%1.37
Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%Goals 2.5Abaixo54%1.85
Sim 51% · Não 49%Ambas as equipes marcamSim51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
11.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapPogoń Siedlce winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pogoń Siedlce win32%3.132.8031.7%+0.3 pp
Empate27%3.703.3026.9%+0.1 pp
Stal Mielec win41%2.442.1541.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pogoń Siedlce1.13

Mandante share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%

Stal Mielec1.39

Visitante share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 51% · Não 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Pogoń Siedlce

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Stal Mielec

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.13
Expected goals
1.39
Pogoń SiedlceStal Mielec
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pogoń Siedlce signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Stal Mielec signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Pogoń Siedlce vs Stal Mielec FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pogoń Siedlce ganhou 32%,Empate 27%,Stal Mielec ganhou 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Acima 2.5 46% · Current selection Abaixo