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POL Полша - Лига 1 · Мач ·

Погон Шедлице vs Стал Миелец

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина32%
Равен27%
Победа за госта41%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Погон ШедлицеСтал Миелец
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
32% / 27% / 41%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27%)Двоен шанс1273%1.37
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 51% · Не 49%И двата отбора да отбележатДа51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
11.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapПогон Шедлице winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Погон Шедлице win32%3.132.8031.7%+0.3 pp
Равен27%3.703.3026.9%+0.1 pp
Стал Миелец win41%2.442.1541.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Погон Шедлице1.13

Домакин share of expected goals 44.8%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Стал Миелец1.39

Гост share of expected goals 55.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Не 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Погон Шедлице

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Стал Миелец

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
41%
5
Points from supplied form
8
1.13
Expected goals
1.39
Погон ШедлицеСтал Миелец
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Погон Шедлице signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Стал Миелец signalГост matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Погон Шедлице vs Стал Миелец FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Погон Шедлице печеливш 32%,Равен 27%,Стал Миелец печеливш 41%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под