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POL Полша - Лига 1 · Мач ·

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Термалика Нечеча

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина36%
Равен27%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта37% selection probability
Projected score2–1Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiТермалика Нечеча
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
36% / 27% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Двоен шанс1273.2%1.37
Над 57% · Под 43%Goals 2.5Над57%1.75
Да 60% · Не 40%И двата отбора да отбележатДа60%1.67
2.96 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win36%2.782.5035.6%+0.4 pp
Равен27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp
Термалика Нечеча win37%2.702.3837.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki1.59

Домакин share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 57% · Под 43%

Термалика Нечеча1.37

Гост share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 60% · Не 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Термалика Нечеча

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.59
Expected goals
1.37
Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiТермалика Нечеча
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Термалика Нечеча signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Термалика Нечеча FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki печеливш 36%,Равен 27%,Термалика Нечеча печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Над 2.5 57% · Current selection Над