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POL Polen - I Liga · Wedstrijd ·

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Termalica BB Nieciecza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst36%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst37%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst37% selection probability
Projected score2–1Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiTermalica BB Nieciecza
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven57% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
36% / 27% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Dubbele Kans1273.2%1.37
Boven 57% · Onder 43%Goals 2.5Boven57%1.75
Ja 60% · Nee 40%Beide teams scorenJa60%1.67
2.96 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win36%2.782.5035.6%+0.4 pp
Gelijkspel27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp
Termalica BB Nieciecza win37%2.702.3837.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki1.59

Thuis share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 57% · Onder 43%

Termalica BB Nieciecza1.37

Uit share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nee 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

2.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Termalica BB Nieciecza

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.59
Expected goals
1.37
Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiTermalica BB Nieciecza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Termalica BB Nieciecza signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Termalica BB Nieciecza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki gewonnen 36%,Gelijkspel 27%,Termalica BB Nieciecza gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Boven 2.5 57% · Current selection Boven