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POL Polonia - I Liga · Partido ·

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Termalica BB Nieciecza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local36%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante37%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante37% selection probability
Projected score2–1Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiTermalica BB Nieciecza
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de57% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
36% / 27% / 37%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Doble Oportunidad1273.2%1.37
Más de 57% · Menos de 43%Goals 2.5Más de57%1.75
Sí 60% · No 40%Ambos equipos marcan60%1.67
2.96 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.9 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win36%2.782.5035.6%+0.4 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp
Termalica BB Nieciecza win37%2.702.3837.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki1.59

Local share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 57% · Menos de 43%

Termalica BB Nieciecza1.37

Visitante share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Termalica BB Nieciecza

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Ganado probability excluding draw
37%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.59
Expected goals
1.37
Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiTermalica BB Nieciecza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki signalLocal unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Termalica BB Nieciecza signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Termalica BB Nieciecza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki ganada 36%,Empate 27%,Termalica BB Nieciecza ganada 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Más de 2.5 57% · Current selection Más de