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POL Pologne - I Liga · Match ·

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Termalica BB Nieciecza

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile36%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur37%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur37% selection probability
Projected score2–1Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiTermalica BB Nieciecza
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de57% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui60% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
36% / 27% / 37%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Double chance1273.2%1.37
Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%Goals 2.5Plus de57%1.75
Oui 60% · Non 40%Les deux équipes marquentOui60%1.67
2.96 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.9 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win36%2.782.5035.6%+0.4 pp
Nul27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp
Termalica BB Nieciecza win37%2.702.3837.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki1.59

Domicile share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 57% · Moins de 43%

Termalica BB Nieciecza1.37

Extérieur share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 60% · Non 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

2.20pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Termalica BB Nieciecza

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gagné probability excluding draw
37%
11
Points from supplied form
6
1.59
Expected goals
1.37
Pogon Grodzisk MazowieckiTermalica BB Nieciecza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Termalica BB Nieciecza signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Termalica BB Nieciecza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 2–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki victoire 36%,Nul 27%,Termalica BB Nieciecza victoire 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Plus de 2.5 57% · Current selection Plus de