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POL Польша - Лига I · Матч ·

Уния Скерневице vs Сталь Жешув

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.81 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев48%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей25%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Уния СкерневицеСталь Жешув
Expected goals2.81Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше53% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа57% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
48% / 26% / 25%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Сталь Жешув win (25.4%)Двойной шанс1X74.6%1.34
Больше 53% · Меньше 47%Goals 2.5Больше53%1.89
Да 57% · Нет 43%Обе забьютДа57%1.75
2.81 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
11.5 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapУния Скерневице winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Уния Скерневице win48%2.081.8548.6%-0.6 pp
Ничья26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp
Сталь Жешув win25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Уния Скерневице1.56

Хозяева share of expected goals 55.5%

Total expected goals2.81Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 53% · Меньше 47%

Сталь Жешув1.25

Гости share of expected goals 44.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 57% · Нет 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Уния Скерневице

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Сталь Жешув

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
25%
6
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
1.25
Уния СкерневицеСталь Жешув
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Уния Скерневице signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Сталь Жешув signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Уния Скерневице vs Сталь Жешув FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Уния Скерневице выигрыш 48%,Ничья 26%,Сталь Жешув выигрыш 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.81 · ТБ 2.5 53% · Current selection Больше