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DEU Niemcy - 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–23.46 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy42%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości33%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy42% selection probability
Projected score2–2Alemannia AachenVerl
Expected goals3.46Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej67% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
42% / 25% / 33%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Podwójna szansa1275.1%1.33
Powyżej 67% · Poniżej 33%Goals 2.5Powyżej67%1.49
Tak 68% · Nie 32%Obie drużyny strzeląTak68%1.47
3.46 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
10.1 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAlemannia Aachen winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alemannia Aachen win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp
Remis25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Verl win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alemannia Aachen1.72

Gospodarze share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals3.46Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 67% · Poniżej 33%

Verl1.74

Goście share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 68% · Nie 32%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Alemannia Aachen

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Verl

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
33%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.72
Expected goals
1.74
Alemannia AachenVerl
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alemannia Aachen signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Verl signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alemannia Aachen wygrana 42%,Remis 25%,Verl wygrana 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Powyżej 2.5 67% · Current selection Powyżej