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DEU Германия - 3-та Лига · Round 1 ·

Алемания Аахен vs Верл

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–23.46 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина42%
Равен25%
Победа за госта33%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина42% selection probability
Projected score2–2Алемания АахенВерл
Expected goals3.46Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над67% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
42% / 25% / 33%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Двоен шанс1275.1%1.33
Над 67% · Под 33%Goals 2.5Над67%1.49
Да 68% · Не 32%И двата отбора да отбележатДа68%1.47
3.46 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
10.1 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapАлемания Аахен winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Алемания Аахен win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp
Равен25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Верл win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алемания Аахен1.72

Домакин share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals3.46Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 67% · Под 33%

Верл1.74

Гост share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 68% · Не 32%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Алемания Аахен

2.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Точки10

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Верл

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
33%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.72
Expected goals
1.74
Алемания АахенВерл
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алемания Аахен signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Верл signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Алемания Аахен vs Верл FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алемания Аахен печеливш 42%,Равен 25%,Верл печеливш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Над 2.5 67% · Current selection Над