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DEU Germany 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–23.46 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng42%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng33%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng42% selection probability
Projected score2–2Alemannia AachenVerl
Expected goals3.46Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài67% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
42% / 25% / 33%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Cơ hội kép1275.1%1.33
Tài 67% · Xỉu 33%Goals 2.5Tài67%1.49
Có 68% · Không 32%Cả hai đội ghi bàn68%1.47
3.46 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–2
10.1 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAlemannia Aachen winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alemannia Aachen win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp
Hòa25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Verl win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alemannia Aachen1.72

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals3.46Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 67% · Xỉu 33%

Verl1.74

Khách share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 68% · Không 32%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Alemannia Aachen

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Verl

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Điểm6

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Thắng probability excluding draw
33%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.72
Expected goals
1.74
Alemannia AachenVerl
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alemannia Aachen signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Verl signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alemannia Aachen thắng 42%,Hòa 25%,Verl thắng 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Tài 2.5 67% · Current selection Tài