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DEU 德國丙級聯賽 · Round 1 ·

亞琛 vs 維爾拉

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–23.46 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝42%
25%
客勝33%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝42% selection probability
Projected score2–2亞琛維爾拉
Expected goals3.46初盤 match profile
Goals 2.567% for the selected side
雙方進球68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
42% / 25% / 33%比賽結果主勝42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)雙重機會1275.1%1.33
大 67% · 小 33%Goals 2.567%1.49
是 68% · 否 32%雙方進球68%1.47
3.46 total expected goals正確比分2–2
10.1 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gap亞琛 winDifference-0.9 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
亞琛 win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp
25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
維爾拉 win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

亞琛1.72

主隊 share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals3.46初盤

Dedicated goals model: 67% · 33%

維爾拉1.74

客隊 share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 68% · 32%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

亞琛

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

維爾拉

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
贏 probability excluding draw
33%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.72
Expected goals
1.74
亞琛維爾拉
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01亞琛 signal主隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02維爾拉 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

亞琛 vs 維爾拉 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

亞琛 42%, 25%,維爾拉 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · 大2.5 67% · Current selection