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DEU Allemagne - 3.Liga · Final ·

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score4–1Pronostic 2–2
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile42%
Nul25%
Victoire à l’extérieur33%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 42% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile42% selection probability
Projected score2–2Alemannia AachenVerl
Expected goals3.46Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de67% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
42% / 25% / 33%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Double chance1275.1%1.33
Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%Goals 2.5Plus de67%1.49
Oui 68% · Non 32%Les deux équipes marquentOui68%1.47
3.46 total expected goalsScore exact2–2
10.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAlemannia Aachen winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alemannia Aachen win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp
Nul25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Verl win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alemannia Aachen1.72

Domicile share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals3.46Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 67% · Moins de 33%

Verl1.74

Extérieur share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitOui 68% · Non 32%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Alemannia Aachen

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Verl

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gagné probability excluding draw
33%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.72
Expected goals
1.74
Alemannia AachenVerl
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alemannia Aachen signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Verl signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alemannia Aachen victoire 42%,Nul 25%,Verl victoire 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Plus de 2.5 67% · Current selection Plus de