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UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
DEU Duitsland - 3. Liga · Round 1 ·

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.46 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst33%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score2–2Alemannia AachenVerl
Expected goals3.46Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven67% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa68% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 25% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbele Kans1275.1%1.33
Boven 67% · Onder 33%Goals 2.5Boven67%1.49
Ja 68% · Nee 32%Beide teams scorenJa68%1.47
3.46 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapAlemannia Aachen winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alemannia Aachen win42%2.382.1042.9%-0.9 pp
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6025%0.0 pp
Verl win33%3.032.8032.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alemannia Aachen1.72

Thuis share of expected goals 49.7%

Total expected goals3.46Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 67% · Onder 33%

Verl1.74

Uit share of expected goals 50.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 68% · Nee 32%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Alemannia Aachen

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Verl

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.72
Expected goals
1.74
Alemannia AachenVerl
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alemannia Aachen signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Verl signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Alemannia Aachen vs Verl FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alemannia Aachen gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 25%,Verl gewonnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Boven 2.5 67% · Current selection Boven