Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
46% / 27% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excursionistas - Reserves win (26.8%)Dubbele Kans1X73.2%1.37
Boven 55% · Onder 45%Goals 2.5Boven55%1.82
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
2.90 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapReal Pilar - Reserves winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar - Reserves win46%2.171.9545.8%+0.2 pp
Gelijkspel27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Excursionistas - Reserves win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 61%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 55% · Onder 45%
Uit share of expected goals 39%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchReal Pilar - Reserves
LWLWW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9
SignalThuis won 3/5
Uit-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchExcursionistas - Reserves
WDWDW
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punten11
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%9
Points from supplied form
111.77
Expected goals
1.13Real Pilar - ReservesExcursionistas - Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Real Pilar - Reserves vs Excursionistas - Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Real Pilar - Reserves gewonnen 46%，Gelijkspel 27%，Excursionistas - Reserves gewonnen 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Boven 2.5 55% · Current selection Boven。