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ARG Argentina - Reservligan · Match ·

Real Pilar reserver vs Excursionistas reserver

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger27%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real Pilar reserverExcursionistas reserver
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över55% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 27% / 27%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excursionistas reserver win (26.8%)Dubbelchans1X73.2%1.37
Över 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Över55%1.82
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Båda lagen gör målJa56%1.79
2.90 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapReal Pilar reserver winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar reserver win46%2.171.9545.8%+0.2 pp
Oavgjort27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Excursionistas reserver win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Pilar reserver1.77

Hemma share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 55% · Under 45%

Excursionistas reserver1.13

Borta share of expected goals 39%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Real Pilar reserver

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Excursionistas reserver

2.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Poäng11

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
11
1.77
Expected goals
1.13
Real Pilar reserverExcursionistas reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Pilar reserver signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excursionistas reserver signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Real Pilar reserver vs Excursionistas reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Pilar reserver vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 27%,Excursionistas reserver vunnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Över 2.5 55% · Current selection Över