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ARG Argentina - Torneo de Reserva · Partido ·

Real Pilar - B vs Excursionistas - B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local46%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante27%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real Pilar - BExcursionistas - B
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
46% / 27% / 27%Resultado del partidoVictoria local46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excursionistas - B win (26.8%)Doble Oportunidad1X73.2%1.37
Más de 55% · Menos de 45%Goals 2.5Más de55%1.82
Sí 56% · No 44%Ambos equipos marcan56%1.79
2.90 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapReal Pilar - B winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar - B win46%2.171.9545.8%+0.2 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Excursionistas - B win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Pilar - B1.77

Local share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 55% · Menos de 45%

Excursionistas - B1.13

Visitante share of expected goals 39%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Real Pilar - B

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Excursionistas - B

2.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Puntos11

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganado probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
11
1.77
Expected goals
1.13
Real Pilar - BExcursionistas - B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Pilar - B signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excursionistas - B signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Real Pilar - B vs Excursionistas - B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Pilar - B ganada 46%,Empate 27%,Excursionistas - B ganada 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Más de 2.5 55% · Current selection Más de