MatchFormula Spiel finden
Menu
UTC+8
ZeitzoneAsia/Shanghai
Deutsch
ARG Argentinien - Reserveliga · Spiel ·

Real Pilar - Reserve vs Excursionistas - Reserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg46%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg27%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real Pilar - ReserveExcursionistas - Reserve
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
46% / 27% / 27%SpielergebnisHeimsieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excursionistas - Reserve win (26.8%)Doppelte Chance1X73.2%1.37
Über 55% · Unter 45%Goals 2.5Über55%1.82
Ja 56% · Nein 44%Beide Teams treffenJa56%1.79
2.90 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapReal Pilar - Reserve winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar - Reserve win46%2.171.9545.8%+0.2 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Excursionistas - Reserve win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Pilar - Reserve1.77

Heim share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 55% · Unter 45%

Excursionistas - Reserve1.13

Auswärts share of expected goals 39%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nein 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Real Pilar - Reserve

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Excursionistas - Reserve

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
11
1.77
Expected goals
1.13
Real Pilar - ReserveExcursionistas - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Pilar - Reserve signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excursionistas - Reserve signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Real Pilar - Reserve vs Excursionistas - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Pilar - Reserve Gewinn 46%,Unentschieden 27%,Excursionistas - Reserve Gewinn 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Über 2.5 55% · Current selection Über