Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 27% / 27%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excursionistas Reserves win (26.8%)Double chance1X73.2%1.37
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.90 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapReal Pilar Reserves winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar Reserves win46%2.171.9545.8%+0.2 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Excursionistas Reserves win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 61%
Total expected goals2.90Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%
Away share of expected goals 39%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchReal Pilar Reserves
LWLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchExcursionistas Reserves
WDWDW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Win probability excluding draw
27%9
Points from supplied form
111.77
Expected goals
1.13Real Pilar ReservesExcursionistas Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.
Match questions
Real Pilar Reserves vs Excursionistas Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Real Pilar Reserves win 46%，Draw 27%，Excursionistas Reserves win 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.90 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over。