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ARG Argentina Reserve League · Fixture ·

UAI Urquiza Reserves vs Villa Dalmine Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw26%
Away win25%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score2–1UAI Urquiza ReservesVilla Dalmine Reserves
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 26% / 25%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Villa Dalmine Reserves win (24.5%)Double chance1X75.5%1.32
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.84 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UAI Urquiza Reserves win49%2.041.8348.9%+0.1 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Villa Dalmine Reserves win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UAI Urquiza Reserves1.82

Home share of expected goals 64.1%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Villa Dalmine Reserves1.02

Away share of expected goals 35.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

UAI Urquiza Reserves

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Villa Dalmine Reserves

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.82
Expected goals
1.02
UAI Urquiza ReservesVilla Dalmine Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UAI Urquiza Reserves signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Villa Dalmine Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

UAI Urquiza Reserves vs Villa Dalmine Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UAI Urquiza Reserves win 49%,Draw 26%,Villa Dalmine Reserves win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over