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ARG Argentina - Reservligan · Match ·

UAI Urquiza reserver vs Villa Dalmine reserver

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger49%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger25%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger49% selection probability
Projected score2–1UAI Urquiza reserverVilla Dalmine reserver
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
49% / 26% / 25%MatchresultatHemmaseger49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Villa Dalmine reserver win (24.5%)Dubbelchans1X75.5%1.32
Över 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Över54%1.85
Ja 54% · Nej 46%Båda lagen gör målJa54%1.85
2.84 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.8 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UAI Urquiza reserver win49%2.041.8348.9%+0.1 pp
Oavgjort26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Villa Dalmine reserver win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UAI Urquiza reserver1.82

Hemma share of expected goals 64.1%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 54% · Under 46%

Villa Dalmine reserver1.02

Borta share of expected goals 35.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nej 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

UAI Urquiza reserver

1.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poäng8

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Villa Dalmine reserver

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
25%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.82
Expected goals
1.02
UAI Urquiza reserverVilla Dalmine reserver
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UAI Urquiza reserver signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Villa Dalmine reserver signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

UAI Urquiza reserver vs Villa Dalmine reserver FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UAI Urquiza reserver vunnen 49%,Oavgjort 26%,Villa Dalmine reserver vunnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Över 2.5 54% · Current selection Över