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ARG Argentina - Campionato Riserve · Partita ·

UAI Urquiza riserve vs Villa Dalmine riserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa49%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite25%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa49% selection probability
Projected score2–1UAI Urquiza riserveVilla Dalmine riserve
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano54% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
49% / 26% / 25%Esito partitaVittoria casa49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Villa Dalmine riserve win (24.5%)Doppia Chance1X75.5%1.32
Sopra 54% · Sotto 46%Goals 2.5Sopra54%1.85
Sì 54% · No 46%Entrambe le squadre segnano54%1.85
2.84 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UAI Urquiza riserve win49%2.041.8348.9%+0.1 pp
Pareggio26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Villa Dalmine riserve win25%4.003.6024.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UAI Urquiza riserve1.82

Casa share of expected goals 64.1%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 54% · Sotto 46%

Villa Dalmine riserve1.02

Trasferta share of expected goals 35.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

UAI Urquiza riserve

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Villa Dalmine riserve

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Vinta probability excluding draw
25%
8
Points from supplied form
7
1.82
Expected goals
1.02
UAI Urquiza riserveVilla Dalmine riserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UAI Urquiza riserve signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Villa Dalmine riserve signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

UAI Urquiza riserve vs Villa Dalmine riserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UAI Urquiza riserve vinta 49%,Pareggio 26%,Villa Dalmine riserve vinta 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Sopra 2.5 54% · Current selection Sopra