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ARG Argentina - Liga de Reservas · Partida ·

Real Pilar - Reservas vs Excursionistas - Reservas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa46%
Empate27%
Vitória visitante27%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real Pilar - ReservasExcursionistas - Reservas
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima55% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
46% / 27% / 27%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excursionistas - Reservas win (26.8%)Dupla Chance1X73.2%1.37
Acima 55% · Abaixo 45%Goals 2.5Acima55%1.82
Sim 56% · Não 44%Ambas as equipes marcamSim56%1.79
2.90 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapReal Pilar - Reservas winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar - Reservas win46%2.171.9545.8%+0.2 pp
Empate27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Excursionistas - Reservas win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Pilar - Reservas1.77

Mandante share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 55% · Abaixo 45%

Excursionistas - Reservas1.13

Visitante share of expected goals 39%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 56% · Não 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Real Pilar - Reservas

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontos9

SignalMandante won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Excursionistas - Reservas

2.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Pontos11

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
11
1.77
Expected goals
1.13
Real Pilar - ReservasExcursionistas - Reservas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Pilar - Reservas signalMandante won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excursionistas - Reservas signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Real Pilar - Reservas vs Excursionistas - Reservas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Pilar - Reservas ganhou 46%,Empate 27%,Excursionistas - Reservas ganhou 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Acima 2.5 55% · Current selection Acima