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ARG Argentina Reserve League · Trận đấu ·

Real Pilar Reserves vs Excursionistas Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.90 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng46%
Hòa27%
Đội khách thắng27%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real Pilar ReservesExcursionistas Reserves
Expected goals2.90Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài55% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
46% / 27% / 27%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Excursionistas Reserves win (26.8%)Cơ hội kép1X73.2%1.37
Tài 55% · Xỉu 45%Goals 2.5Tài55%1.82
Có 56% · Không 44%Cả hai đội ghi bàn56%1.79
2.90 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.1 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.9%Largest probability gapReal Pilar Reserves winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Pilar Reserves win46%2.171.9545.8%+0.2 pp
Hòa27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Excursionistas Reserves win27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Pilar Reserves1.77

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 61%

Total expected goals2.90Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 55% · Xỉu 45%

Excursionistas Reserves1.13

Khách share of expected goals 39%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 56% · Không 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Real Pilar Reserves

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà won 3/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Excursionistas Reserves

2.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Điểm11

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Thắng probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
11
1.77
Expected goals
1.13
Real Pilar ReservesExcursionistas Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Pilar Reserves signalChủ nhà won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Excursionistas Reserves signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Real Pilar Reserves vs Excursionistas Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Pilar Reserves thắng 46%,Hòa 27%,Excursionistas Reserves thắng 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.90 · Tài 2.5 55% · Current selection Tài